HEAT AND MASS TRANSFER AND MODELING 
AND PREDICTION OF ENVIRONMENTAL CATASTROPHES
A. M. Grishin

UDC 533.6.011.6+634.0.431

Basic definitions and concepts of the physicomathematical 
theory of natural catastrophes are given. Possibilities of mathematical 
modeling of natural and technogenic catastrophes are discussed in 
the context of the theory of heat and mass transfer and the mechanics 
of reacting media. The importance of taking into account conjugate 
heat and mass exchange in modeling catastrophes is emphasized. A formula 
for evaluating the probability of a "collisional" catastrophe is given.

Tomsk State University, Tomsk, Russia; email: fire@fire.tsu.tomsk.su. 
Translated from Inzhenerno-Fizicheskii Zhurnal, Vol. 74, No. 4, pp. 
41-47, July-August, 2001. Original article submitted July 17, 2000.

JEPTER7492020011
JEPTER749201