Volume 94, №1


PHYSICAL KINETICS AND SIMULATION OF THE SPREAD OF AN EPIDEMIC

A self-consistent system of differential logistic equations has been constructed to describe the spread of an epidemic with account for the demography and geography of a country. An original method of numerical assessment of the number of unregistered cases in the country has been proposed.  
Author:  P. S. Grinchuk and S. P. Fisenko
Keywords:  number of contacts, demography, geography, time of infection, similarity parameter
Page:  1

DETERMINATION OF THE VOLUMETRIC COEFFICIENT OF MASS TRANSFER IN COOLING TOWERS WITH JET–FILM CONTACT DEVICES

A new construction of the cooling tower sprinkler block consisting of jet–fi lm contact devices has been developed. The proposed packings are capable of increasing the surface of contact of phases at a small number of wetting points, a minimum percent of droplet entrainment by a gas fl ow, and a low hydraulic resistance. Based on the method of transfer units, generalizing the results of experimental investigations of the process of water cooling in the developed cooling tower sprinkler block, an expression has been obtained for calculating the volumetric coeffi cient of mass transfer with account for the ratio between the mass fl ow rates of air and water, as well of the wetting density. It has been established that an increase in the mean-fl ow speed of air leads to an increase in the values of the volumetric coeffi cient of mass transfer because of the increase in the degree of gas fl ow turbulence. Comparison results of calculations of the volumetric coeffi cient of mass transfer for different cooling tower sprinkler blocks are given. It has been established that at small ratios of unit loads (Gm/Lm up to 0.5) a sprinkler made of lattice elements is most effi cient. It has been proven that on increase of the ratio of init loads (Gm/Lm > 0.5), the sprinkler block consisting of the proposed jet–fi lm contact devices has the highest cooling capability. The expression obtained for calculating the volumetric coeffi cient of mass transfer can be used in designing and modernization of industrial, cooling towers with jet–fi lm contact devices.  
Author:  A. V. Dmitriev, O. S. Dmitrieva, and I. N. Madyshev
Keywords:  heat/mass transfer, cooling, jet–fi lm contact device, circulating water, cooling tower
Page:  113

EXPERIMENTAL INVESTIGATIONS INTO THE SPEED OF THERMOELECTRIC BEVERAGE COOLERS WITH WET CONTACT

The structure of a novel table thermoelectric cooler with wet contact, i.e., with a water-fi lled gap between the container with a beverage and the cooler chamber, has been presented. The test bed and the procedure of tests and their results have been described. Technical advantages of the novel cooler have been shown, in particular, the increase in its speed, which amounted to 15 to 65%. The effect of acceleration of the cooling of the beverage due to the activation of the second mechanism of heat exchange, i.e., natural convection, has been found and described.  
Author:  S. O. Filin and B. Zakrzewski
Keywords:  beverage cooler, cooling time, heat-exchange conditions, experimental investigations
Page:  118

MATHEMATICAL SIMULATION OF THE ACTION OF OSCILLATIONS OF A BLUNT-NOSED CONIC BODY ON THE CONJUGATE HEAT AND MASS TRANSFER IN ITS COATING

The infl uence of oscillations of a conic body with a nose blunted over a sphere on the conjugate heat and mass transfer in its heat-resistant coating in the case where the material of the conical part of the body is subjected to thermomechanical failure as a result of the fl ow of a high-enthalpy gas over it was investigated. Results of a numerical investigation of the three-dimensional supersonic fl ow over such a body executing an oscillatory motion in the pitch plane are presented.  
Author:  K. N. Efi mov, E. L. Loboda, V. A. Ovchinnikov, and A. S. Yakimov
Keywords:  heat shield material, conjugate heat and mass transfer, oscillations, angle of attack, supersonic fl ow
Page:  127

THERMAL EFFECTS IN THE FLOW OF A POLYMER AQUEOUS SOLUTION THROUGH A HYDROCUTTING JET-FORMING HEAD

An experimental study of the rise in the temperature of a water–polymer jet, which occurs in hydrocutting and is caused by the Joule–Thomson effect, has enabled the authors to propose a method to enhance the process of hydrojet water–polymer cutting of materials.  
Author:  A. V. Pogrebnyak, I. V. Perkun, V. G. Pogrebnyak, and V. Ya. Shimanskii
Keywords:  polymer solution, water–polymer cutting, Joule–Thomson effect, phase diagram, abrasive additives
Page:  137

RHEOLOGY OF STRUCTURED NON-NEWTONIAN OILS IN THE GAS-LIFT RECOVERY METHOD

Consideration has been given to the problems of rheology of non-Newtonian oils in the gas-lift method of recovery. An analysis of the state of a non-Newtonian oil containing asphalt resinous substances has enabled the authors to investigate structuring and its infl uence on rheological properties. The formation of adsorption fi lms on the surface of water droplets and gas bubbles leads to obtaining stable oil emulsions. The thickness of the adsorption layer as a function of the content of asphalt resinous substances has been calculated. Experimental investigations into the rheology of non-Newtonian oils have been proposed and rheological models have been obtained.  
Author:  G. I. Kelbaliyev, T. Sh. Salavatov, S. R. Rasulov, and E. V. Mamedova
Keywords:  rheology, non-Newtonian oils, structuring, emulsions, experiment, rheological models, rate of shear, yield stress
Page:  143

INTENSIFICATION OF THE DETACHED FLOW IN A SINGLE ROW OF INCLINED OVAL TRENCH DIMPLES ON THE WALL OF A NARROW CHANNEL

An analysis of the intensifi cation of a steady-state detached turbulent air fl ow with Re = 104 in a row of oval trench dimples, positioned on the wall of a narrow channel and oriented at an agile of 45o to the incident fl ow, is given. It is shown that the anomalously high velocities of the reverse and secondary fl ows at the entrance of such a dimple (of the order of the mean mass velocity of the fl ow in the channel), as well as the negative friction in this part of the dimple that exceeds in absolute value the friction on the plane wall of the channel by almost fi ve times, are due to the difference between the total pressure in the near zones of stagnation of the air fl ow at the windward slope of the dimple and the negative pressure at the site of generation of a whirlwind-like vortex structure in the dimple.  
Author:  S. A. Isaev, A. I. Leont′ev, D. V. Nikushchenko A. G. Sudakov, and A. E. Usachov
Keywords:  inclined oval trench dimples, narrow channel, intensifi cation, detached fl ow
Page:  151

SLOPE FLOWS PRODUCED BY BULK HEAT RELEASE

The Prandtl model of slope fl ows (convection in a stratifi ed medium near an inclined surface) has been generalized to the case of the presence of bulk heat sources/sinks oriented in parallel with the slope. Such sources exist, for example, when the atmosphere is fi lled with an aerosol exerting its infl uence on the radiation air balance. The properties of the analytical solutions found are nontrivial in some respects. For example, the intensity of stationary slope fl ows may increase with decrease in the inclination angle of the lower boundary. Numerical estimates show the possibility of generation of noticeable atmospheric slope fl ows in the presence of an aerosol that infl uences the radiation balance.  
Author:  L. Kh. Ingel′
Keywords:  slope fl ows, convection, bulk heat release, analytical model, Prandtl model, atmospheric aerosol, radiation balance
Page:  160

MATHEMATICAL SIMULATION AND EXPERIMENTAL INVESTIGATION OF A CONTACTLESS MEASURING SECTION IN THE PROBLEM ON HIGH-VELOCITY BALLISTIC FLIGHTS

A method and system for contactless measurement of the velocity of fl ight of a thrown body over a measuring base in an air atmosphere and for the actuation of a recording apparatus by the signal formed as a result of the passage of the body through a measuring section are presented. The method proposed is based on the formation of normalized pulses of positive polarity for the synchronization of the activation of a recording apparatus by a defi nite coordinate of a body thrown. Results of calculation and experimental investigations of variable reluctance pickups in tests of high-velocity ballistic fl ights are presented. Relations allowing one to estimate the dependence of the magnetic induction in the core of a variable reluctance pickup on the value of the air gap between a magnet and the pickup are presented  
Author:  S. I. Gerasimov, V. I. Erofeev, A. V. Zubankov, V. A. Kikeev, and V. V. Pisetskii
Keywords:  ballistic-fl ight tests, variable reluctance pickup, contactless measuring section, synchronization, magnetic fl ux, scattering coeffi cient.
Page:  165

RECORDING OF HIGH-SPEED PROCESSES IN IMPACT DESTRUCTION OF A CONTAINER FILLED WITH A FLUID

An experimental procedure has been developed to record phenomena in impact destruction of a container with a fl uid. The phenomena were recorded using x-ray pulse devices and a high-speed fi lming technique. The propagation of compression waves in the fl uid was registered using bubble-markers in the form of air curtains in the fl uid mass. The pressure in the compression wave was measured by a gallium arsenide crystal-based sensor. An investigation has been made into the characteristics of the phenomena occurring during the destruction of a container with a fl uid by a high-speed striker. We have established the dependences of cavity development in the fl uid, the striker motion law, the time dependence of pressure, and the pressure attenuation in the fl uid. The obtained dependences make it possible to establish objective physical data on phenomena in impact-stressed containers and to solve the issue of strength of a container with a fl uid.  
Author:  V. M. Zakharov and A. N. Ishchenko
Keywords:  enclosed fl uid volume, high-speed striker, air bubble-marker, impact phenomena, compression wave, destruction
Page:  171

A NUMERICAL METHOD FOR SOLVING THE EQUATIONS OF HYDRAULICS AND OF NONLINEAR ELECTRIC DC CIRCUITS

The hydraulics equations are reduced to the form of the equations of nonlinear electric circuits by introducing hydraulic resistances, which are analogous to electric resistances. The hydraulic resistances depend on unknown discharges and are calculated from the discharges on the previous iteration. As a result, on the new iteration step it is possible to solve a system of linear equations, from which discharges on the iteration half-step are found. Discharges on the new iteration step are represented as linear combinations of discharges on the half-step and on the previous step. The possibilities of the method are shown using the example of a hydrosystem with two pumps and three fl ow governors  
Author:  K. O. Sabdenov
Keywords:  pipeline, hydraulic system, numerical methods of hydraulics, iteration method
Page:  179

ESTIMATION OF COVID-19 INFECTION GROWTH RATE BASED ON THE IMBEDDING METHOD

An analysis is presented of universal stages in the development of the COVID-19 virus infection epidemic. It is assumed that during a pandemic the growth rate in the number of infections in a country occurs similarly to the process of virion replication in an infected organism. The exponent of the growth rate of the number of infection cases refl ects not only biomedical parameters of a virus infection but also distinctive features of the social behavior of the population of a country. The dynamics of the change in the growth rate exponents is simulated by a system of relaxation-type ordinary differential equations. In applied mathematics, based on the imbedding method, limit values are forecast for exponents of the growth rate of the number of cases using the currently available experimental data. These values "forecast ahead" are subsequently approached by the actual exponents of growth in the number of infectees. The search for unknown parameters is carried out by minimizing a specially constructed quadratic functional accounting for all confi rmed cases of COVID-19 infection. The functional minimum is found via iterations by solving a system of ordinary differential equations.  
Author:  I. V. Derevich and A. A. Panova
Keywords:  COVID-19 epidemic, number of infectees, quarantine, social behavior, imbedding method, growth rate in the number of infectees (infection cases)
Page:  18

REYNOLDS ANALOGY BASED ON THE THEORY OF STOCHASTIC EQUATIONS AND EQUIVALENCE OF MEASURES*

A new dependence has been obtained to calculate the Reynolds analogy in a nonisothermal turbulent fl ow in a circular tube. The formula for the Reynolds analogy was obtained from stochastic turbulence theory, which is based on stochastic differential equations of the laws of conservation of mass, momentum, and energy, and also on the regularities of equivalence of measures between deterministic and random motions. A comparison has been made of the calculation results for the classical formula and for the new formula for various Prandtl numbers.  
Author:  A. V. Dmitrenko
Keywords:  stochastic equations, equivalence of measures, Reynolds analogy
Page:  186

SIMILARITY SOLUTION FOR THE FLOW BEHIND A MAGNETOGASDYNAMIC EXPONENTIAL SHOCK WAVE IN A PERFECT GAS WITH VARYING DENSITY, HEAT CONDUCTION, AND RADIATION HEAT FLUX

Similarity solutions are obtained for the propagation of a shock wave driven by a piston moving with time dependence according to an exponential law in a perfect gas with azimuthal magnetic fi eld as well as with conduction and radiation heat fl uxes. Heat conduction is described by the Fourier law, and radiation is considered to be of diffusion type for the optically thick grey gas model. The thermal conductivity and absorption coeffi cient are assumed to vary with temperature and density. The density and magnetic fi eld strength ahead of the shock front are assumed to vary exponentially. The effects of the variations in the strength of the ambient magnetic fi eld, heat transfer parameters, adiabatic exponent, and in the ambient density variation index on the fl ow fi eld characteristics are studied. The shock strength is shown to be independent of the heat transfer parameters. The medium compressibility increases in the absence of a magnetic fi eld.  
Author:  R. Bajargaan, A. Patel, and M. Singh
Keywords:  exponential shock wave, self-similar solution, magnetic fi eld, conduction heat fl ux, radiation heat fl ux
Page:  194

ON DISTRIBUTION OF VELOCITIES INSIDE A VAPOR–GAS BUBBLE OCCURRING IN AN ACOUSTIC FIELD

A study has been made of the distribution of gas particle velocities inside a vapor–gas spherical bubble oscillating in a liquid under the action of an acoustic fi eld. Calculations conducted for different vapor concentrations in the bubble and different Peclet and Lewis numbers have shown that the deviation of the profi le of these velocities from a linear dependence usually does not exceed 30%.  
Author:  R. N. Khabeev and N. S. Khabeev
Keywords:  vapor–gas bubble, acoustic fi eld, radial oscillations, profi le of velocities
Page:  207

ENTROPY ANALYSIS OF THE PROCESS OF BURNING OF A GAS IN THE FURNACE OF A WATER-TUBE BOILER WITH A SECONDARY RADIATOR

An analytical study has been made of the operating processes of burning of natural gas in the furnace of a steam water-tube boiler. The authors have determined the fi elds of the combustion-product temperature and of the heat-fl ux density in the furnace volume, and also the thermodynamic parameters of the reaction of combustion of methane and the enthalpy and entropy change of combustion products in the furnace with a secondary radiator and without it. The distribution of the entropy fi elds has been given and the regions of high entropy production near heat-transfer surfaces during the heat exchange of combustion products have been determined. To obtain optimum results, the authors used the model of minimum entropy generation in the thermodynamic system. An exergy analysis has been made of the operating processes of the chemical reactions of combustion and heat exchange of the combustion products with the tubular surfaces of the steam boiler. The infl uence of structural and regime parameters of the boiler furnace on the exergy loss has been shown.  
Author:  Andriy Redko, Igor Redko, Yurii Burda, Serhii Pavlovskiiy, Andriy Redko,a Igor Redko, Yurii Burda, Serhii Pavlovskiiy,
Keywords:  entropy analysis, entropy generation, burning of a gas, water-tube boiler, furnace, secondary radiator
Page:  210

EXPERIMENTAL SIMULATION AND MULTIOBJECTIVE OPTIMIZATION OF THE WORK OF A PELLET BURNER FOR A TUBULAR GAS HEATER

Results are presented from an experimental investigation into the working regime of a pellet burner for a tubular gas heater. A transition is shown from a set of primary measurements of input and output parameters to dimensionless groups. Regressional dependences of CO and NOx concentrations in combustion products have been obtained. The problem of multiobjective optimization of the work of a pellet burner has been solved.  
Author:  V. F. Irodov, R. V. Barsuk, G. Ya. Chornomorets, and A. A. Chernoyvan
Keywords:  Results are presented from an experimental investigation into the working regime of a pellet burner for a tubular gas heater. A transition is shown from a set of primary measurements of input and output parameters to dimensionless groups. Regressional dependences of CO and NOx concentrations in combustion products have been obtained. The problem of multiobjective optimization of the work of a pellet burner has been solved.
Page:  219

METHODS OF DETERMINING THE PERMEABILITY OF SELECTIVELY PERMEABLE MEMBRANES

An exact solution of the problem on the dynamics of separation of a gas mixture in membrane separators of different designs has been obtained. A procedure for interpreting the time dependence of the pressures on different sides of a selectively permeable membrane for determining the coeffi cients of its permeability is proposed. The direct and inverse problems on determination of the parameters of membrane separators were posed and solved. It was established that the accuracy of determining the permeability coeffi cients of a selectively permeable membrane depends on the duration of an experiment.  
Author:  R. M. Ganopol′skii, A. Ya. Gil′manov, M. A. Demenchuk, I. O. Dmitriev, K. M. Fedorov, and A. P. Shevelev
Keywords:  selectively permeable membrane, separation, gas mixture, thermodynamics, nonstationary problem, mass transfer
Page:  226

THERMAL PROPERTIES OF HUMAN SOFT TISSUE AND ITS EQUIVALENTS IN A WIDE LOW-TEMPERATURE RANGE

A prescribed amount of heat to be removed from biotissues during cryogenic treatment is currently calculated with the use of simple prediction models. Therefore, a signifi cant distinction exists between the calculated and actual doses during the operation. For reliable simulation, it is necessary to have accurate thermal properties of human tissues in a wide low-temperature range, but in the literature the data regarding these thermal properties are inconclusive. In the present paper, the thermal properties of human prostate, kidney, liver, and pancreatic tissues are analyzed. Using differential scanning calorimetry (DSC), the specifi c heat capacity in the temperature range from –160 to 40o С, the latent heat of melting, and the initial ice melting temperature are measured. The moisture content and cryoscopic temperature of these tissues are also investigated. Due to the diffi culties with getting access to a human cardiac muscle and large specimens of other human biotissues, in the present study equivalents (porcine tissues) are used on the basis of their high similarity to human biotissues. In this case, only the thermal conductivity of a porcine cardiac muscle is determined. Based on the measurement results, the thermal properties of the same tissue type and of different types (including healthy tissues and tumors) are compared. The adaptation of experimental data for simulation software is proposed. The impact of the accuracy in determining the thermal properties on the thermal diffusivity is analyzed. The prospects in predicting the thermal properties of different biological tissues are considered. Based on the data obtained, it is possible to more accurately simulate heat transfer during cryoexposure.  
Author:  I. V. Agafonkina, A. G. Belozerov, A. O. Vasilyev, A. V. Pushkarev, D. I. Tsiganov, A. V. Shakurov and A. A. Zherdev
Keywords:  differential scanning calorimetry (DSC), heat capacity, thermal conductivity, biological tissue, prostate, liver, pancreas, heart, kidney
Page:  233

ON THE PROBLEM OF DESIGNING THE ANISOTROPIC MATERIAL OF SHELL SLEEVES WITH A FREE EDGE IN THE CORE OF A NUCLEAR ROCKET ENGINE

The author gives numerical results on taking account of the infl uence of anisotropy of physicomechanical properties of free-edge cylindrical shell sleeves from orthotropic material on the stressed state in fuel assembles of the core of a nuclear rocket engine in their probable local radial interaction, which is important in designing.  
Author:  B. V. Nerubailo
Keywords:  differential equation, boundary conditions, Fourier series, stressed state, local load, physically orthotropic, transversally isotropic
Page:  247

CALCULATION OF THE HEAT AND MASS TRANSFER AND THE STRAINED STATE OF SANITARYWARE IN THE PROCESS OF ITS CONVECTION DRYING

A numerical calculation of the heat and mass transfer and the strained state of sanitaryware in the process of its drying in a convection drier is presented. The problem on the convection drying of this ware was solved in the three-dimensional formulation with the use of the ANSYS program complex, allowing one to construct visual threedimensional geometric models of objects.  
Author:  V. A. Sychevskii
Keywords:  convection drying, sanitaryware, heat and mass transfer, strained state, numerical calculation, computational experiment
Page:  254

TRANSPORT PROPERTIES OF COATINGS CONSISTING OF Al2O3 NANOPARTICLES

The technology of obtaining coatings consisting of alumina nanoparticles and their agglomerates is presented. The transport properties of coatings and the change of these properties with time are investigated. The dependence of the height of capillary ascent on the quantity of deposited nanofl uid on substrates has been established. An estimate of the change in the height of liquid rise and of the permeability of a coating with the change in the size of particles has been made. Deterioration of the transport properties of porous coatings consisting of alumina nanoparticles with time is investigated, and the possibility of restoring these properties is shown.  
Author:  Yu. A. Kuzma-Kichta, N. S. Ivanov, and A. V. Lavrikov
Keywords:  porous coatings, alumina nanoparticles, thermal resistance, thermal stabilization, capillary structures, permeability, rise of liquid
Page:  30

NUMERICAL MODELING OF FILTRATION PRESSURE FIELDS IN AN ISOLATED HOMOGENEOUS ISOTROPIC IMPERFECTLY STRIPPED SEAM

Filtration fl ows arising on the uptake of hydrocarbons from imperfectly stripped seams-collectors are investigated. The problem on the pressure fi eld in an isolated isotropic homogeneous seam localized in the interval from H1d to –H2d and perforated in the range –Hd < zd < Hd, fully contained in the interval of the seam, has been considered. The problem is formulated in dimensional and dimensionless values for functions of pressure deviation from its nonperturbed distribution normalized to the amplitude value of depression. Dimensionless relations are constructed for the problem considered. A fi nite-difference program is created for calculating the fi elds of pressure and velocity in a seam with imperfect stripping when the seam boundaries do not coincide with the boundaries of the perforation interval. Graphical dependences have been constructed for the pressure fi eld, vertical and horizontal components and velocity modulus of the fl uid fi ltering from the periphery to the well. The level lines for the indicated fi elds are presented and, based on their analysis, important laws governing the fl ow have been revealed. A computational experiment has shown that at the exit into the well in the perforated part of the seam vertical fl ows are absent, and at increasing distance from the well they differ from zero. This means that interlayer overfl ows exist even in homogeneous imperfectly stripped seams. At the center of the symmetrically perforated bed such overfl ows are absent, since the transverse velocity component vanishes. At the same time, infl ow from an imperfectly stripped homogeneous isotropic seam, which is produced in the regime of assigned depression, is not uniform, and the maximum of the modulus of the horizontal velocity component on all of the curves is attained at the boundaries of the perforation interval. It is shown that at the center of a symmetrically perforated and imperfectly stripped seam, a minimum specifi c infl ow is observed.  
Author:  A. I. Filippov, A. A. Koval′skii, O. V. Akhmetova, and M. R. Gubaidullin
Keywords:  fi ltration, imperfect stripping, two-dimensional fl ow, fi nite-difference program, pressure fi eld, velocity fi eld
Page:  36

INFLUENCE OF GROUNDWATER SEEPAGE ON ARTIFICIAL FREEZING OF ROCK MASS

Investigation of the effect of horizontal groundwater seepage in a rock mass subjected to artifi cial freezing on the parameters of a frozen wall formed around a projected shaft is carried out. For this purpose, a mathematical model of coupled heat and mass transfer in a watered rock mass subjected to freezing is formulated, and numerical multiparametric simulation of the formation of frozen wall under the conditions of groundwater seepage with variable rate has been made. A sandstone layer for the conditions of Petrikovo deposit of potash and rock salts is predominantly considered in the work. An analysis of the results has shown that the infl uence of groundwater fl ow on the frozen wall thickness begins at seepage rates of about 50 mm/day. In this case, the infl uence of the groundwater fl ow on the temperature fi eld of the rock mass begins earlier, at seepage rates 10–25 mm/day. Three mechanisms of the frozen wall dynamics on increase in the rate of groundwater seepage rate are determined: shift, deformation, and loss of continuity. Corrections for the frozen wall thickness in the presence of groundwater fl ow for a sandstone layer for the interval of seepage rates from 50 to 150 mm/day have also been established.  
Author:  M. A. Semin, L. Yu. Levin, and O. S. Parshakov
Keywords:  frozen wall, shaft, artifi cial ground freezing, heat and mass transfer, groundwater seepage, numerical simulation
Page:  45

HYDRODYNAMICS OF MOTION OF A LIQUID IN THE CONJUGATE SYSTEM "FORMATION–WELL–PIPELINE"

A model of nonstationary motion of a liquid in the conjugate system "formation–well–pipeline" has been constructed, and relevant coupled equations have been solved. An analytical expression for the infl uence of the change in the pressure at the end of the pipeline on the bottomhole pressure has been obtained. Numerical calculations for different values of parameters of the system have been carried out.  
Author:  N. A. Agaeva
Keywords:  fi ltration, Laplace transformation, motion of a liquid, continuity equation, Volterra-type integral equation
Page:  56

EPIDEMIC DYNAMICS KINETIC MODEL AND ITS TESTING ON THE COVID-19 EPIDEMIC SPREAD DATA

A kinetic model has been proposed for the spread of epidemics, describing the dynamics of the variation in the number of disease-free, infected, and recovered (SIR) cases, based on a lag logistic equation. It has been established that this model predicts the possibility of existence of a quasi-steady-state mode of an epidemic in which the number of infected cases is constant due to the balance of the daily increment of infections and recoveries. Conditions have been identifi ed under which such a mode can be a source of the advance of the second epidemic wave. The COVID-19 pandemic data were used to show the possibility of reliable forecasts based on this model of the spread of an epidemic for a period of up to two months.  
Author:  A. I. Shnip
Keywords:  prediction of epidemics, COVID-19, logistic equation, delayed argument, second wave
Page:  6

MECHANISM FOR IMPROVING THE STRENGTH OF A CEMENT MATERIAL MODIFIED BY SiO2 NANOPARTICLES AND MULTIWALL CARBON NANOTUBES

The authors have given results of investigations into the phase transformations of a cement material modifi ed by a complex nanodisperse admixture that consists of a superplasticizer and nanoparticles (nanosilica sol and a carbon nanomaterial) by the method of thermogravimetric analysis; the method makes it possible to obtain quantitative information on the change in the mass of a specimen as a result of its heating. Thermogravimetry data have been compared with the results of ultrasound investigation and nanoindentation.  
Author:  E. N. Polonina, V. V. Potapov, S. A. Zhdanok, and S. N. Leonovich
Keywords:  complex admixture, nanomaterial, strength, thermogravimetry, nanoindentation, calcium silicate hydrate gels
Page:  67

NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF THE HIGH-TEMPERATURE OXIDATION OF A NANOSIZE ALUMINUM PARTICLE

A mathematical model of high-temperature oxidation of a nanosize aluminum particle has been presented. The model takes account of the diffusion of the oxidant and the aluminum vapor through a spherical layer of alumina around the aluminum melt, and also of the dependence of the rate of the reaction between the oxygen and the aluminum on temperature. Calculations of the time of burning of a nanosize aluminum particle of diameter 80 mm as a function of the temperature and pressure of the surrounding gas and of the oxygen concentration turned out to be in agreement with the results of experimental measurements presented in scientifi c literature. The exponents in the dependence of the burning time of a nanosize aluminum particle on the particle diameter and the temperature and pressure of the ambient medium have been determined; it has been shown that the exponents are dependent on temperature, pressure, and particle diameter.  
Author:  A. Yu. Krainov, V. A. Poryazov, K. M. Moiseeva, and D. A. Krainov
Keywords:  nanosize aluminum particle, burning time, mathematical modeling
Page:  79

PRODUCTION OF HfTaTiNbZrC5 HIGH-ENTROPY CARBIDE MICROPOWDER IN THE PLASMA OF AN ATMOSPHERIC PRESSURE ARC DISCHARGE

HfTaTiNbZrC5 high-entropy carbide micropowder has been synthesized using the technique of direct-current plasma arc discharge at atmospheric pressure. The synthesis was carried out in air atmosphere under conditions of the formation of a protective carbon monoxide gas layer. TiO2, ZrO2, Nb2O5, HfO2, and Ta2O5 oxide metal powders included in the composition of high-entropy carbide with characteristic grain dimensions of 5–10 μm have been used as raw feedstock. It has been shown that it takes at least 90–100 s for the formation of high-entropy carbide to occur from raw feedstock under the action of arc discharge plasma. The advantage of the proposed method of producing high-entropy carbide micropowder compared to other similar methods is the short time of synthesis of such powder with low energy expenditure (~960 kJ/g) and the possibility of using simple equipment for synthesis.  
Author:  A.Ya. Pak, P. S. Grinchuk, G. Ya. Mamontov, T. Yu. Yakich, and A. A. Gumovskaya
Keywords:  high-entropy carbide, electric-arc synthesis, vacuum-free method, atmospheric plasma
Page:  88

SOLUTION OF THE STEFAN TWO-PHASE PROBLEM WITH AN INTERNAL SOURCE AND OF HEAT CONDUCTION PROBLEMS BY THE METHOD OF RAPID EXPANSIONS

The Stefan two-phase problem with an internal source, as well as the heat conduction problem for rectangular and curvilinear regions, has been solved by the method of rapid sine-expansion, which involves the Fourier series. The problem of heat conduction in a body of rectangular form was solved in a general form with the Dirichlet conditions and an internal heat source by the method of rapid expansion, and thereafter the problem for a body of curvilinear shape. The solutions obtained were used in considering the Stefan problem with unknown curvilinear interface. Expressions are presented for matching the input data of the problem, on satisfaction of which the solution will be universally continuous everywhere in the region of the rectangle together with derivatives up to the sixth order inclusive. The nonfulfi llment of these conditions leads to the discontinuity of the solution at the corner points. The algorithms of the solution of problems in rectangular and curvilinear regions, as well as of the Stefan twophase problem, are written. The solution for the rectangular region is represented in an explicit form, whereas the solution for the curvilinear region and the solution of the Stefan problem are reduced to a closed algebraic system of equations of small volume  
Author:  A. D. Chernyshov
Keywords:  heat conduction problem, Stefan two-phase problem, rapid sine-expansion, Fourier series
Page:  95

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